Loans claimed 54 p.c of the U.S. photo voltaic financing market in 2019, in keeping with WoodMac’s new report — a 31 p.c leap from 2018.
All main photo voltaic mortgage suppliers skilled development in 2019, and extra installers at the moment are providing loans to clients.
Loanpal retained the highest spot, and each Loanpal and Daylight Monetary gained market share final yr by including new installer companions and gaining extra share of enterprise from current installer companions.
The impression of Covid-19 on residential photo voltaic finance
2020 is not going to inform an identical development story for photo voltaic finance, WoodMac notes within the report.
Of the completely different financing segments, money shall be hardest hit resulting from coronavirus, declining 42 p.c this yr versus 2019 ranges. Third-party possession and mortgage volumes will each drop this yr by 21 and 23 p.c, respectively.
Default charges on U.S. photo voltaic loans are within the highlight. Though shoppers have principally stored up with funds to date, it stays unclear how lengthy it will final as authorities help winds down. It’s unlikely that increased default charges would really drive mortgage suppliers out of enterprise within the quick time period, nevertheless, in WoodMac’s view.
Of extra urgent concern: Many installers are weak to a chronic financial downturn and are susceptible to going out of enterprise, probably creating a niche available in the market for financeable tasks as financiers lose installer companions.
Wooden Mackenzie has decreased its 2020 and 2021 U.S. residential photo voltaic forecast by 31 p.c and 26 p.c, respectively, because of the financial impacts attributable to the virus.
One vibrant spot: Current photo voltaic asset-backed securitization (ABS) transactions level to a faster-than-expected restoration for investments within the business and supply proof that investor confidence stays excessive.
2019 was the largest yr for photo voltaic asset-backed securities, topping $1.9 billion. Following this banner yr, there was only one transaction in 2020 earlier than the coronavirus upended markets. After 4 months of no exercise, the market awoke in June with 4 accomplished ABS transactions.
Loanpal was the primary financier to be concerned in a photo voltaic securitization after the onset of COVID-19, when Goldman Sachs pooled Loanpal originated loans and sponsored two transactions totaling 373 million. Loanpal additionally introduced an extra transaction with GoodFinch in July 2020.
Photo voltaic asset-backed securitizations had reached almost $1.5 billion in transaction worth in 2020 as of July, in keeping with WoodMac.
Bryan White is a photo voltaic analyst at Wooden Mackenzie and writer of the latest US residential photo voltaic finance replace report.